The presidency has dismissed former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar’s claim that the federal government earned a N7.98 trillion oil windfall under the current administration, asking him to provide evidence to support the allegation.
In a statement issued on Sunday, Bayo Onanuga, special adviser on information and strategy to the president, described Atiku’s economic analysis “deficient” and challenged the former vice-president to substantiate his claims.
The presidency’s rebuttal follows Atiku’s recent criticism of the federal government’s continued domestic borrowing despite what he described as “higher-than-expected” oil revenues.
In an earlier statement issued by Phrank Shaibu, his senior special assistant on public communication, Atiku said President Bola Tinubu administration’s economic management was “contradictory, opaque, and bereft of fiscal discipline”.
The former vice-president claimed that at an average production of 1.5 million barrels per day, Nigeria earned an estimated $42.7 million in additional revenue daily, amounting to about $5.76 billion, or approximately N7.98 trillion, between March 1 and July 14.
He argued that despite the revenue, the federal government raised about N5 trillion from the domestic bond market in the first half of 2026, representing nearly 80 percent of the amount borrowed during the corresponding period in 2025.
According to him, such aggressive borrowing would only be justified if government revenues had declined.
Rejecting the claims, Onanuga said Atiku’s economic analysis was deficient, insisting that “there is no such windfall of N7.98 trillion”.
“Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, in his typical pastime, has accused the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu of fiscal recklessness, citing excess borrowing in the 2024 budget, questioning the removal of fuel subsidy, criticising tax reforms, concocting an oil windfall of N7.98 trillion, and suggesting that Nigeria is drifting economically,” the statement reads.
He said any incremental revenue from higher oil prices is reflected in the monthly FAAC figures.
He added that while the average Brent crude price for the first half of 2026 was around $90, compared with the $64.85 benchmark, average daily production fell short at about 1.6 million barrels per day against the projected 1.84 million barrels per day.
According to him, the production shortfall partly offset the price premium, while some crude volumes had already been pledged for loans used to finance the fuel subsidy that had since been removed.
“The convenient mistake many analysts make is to multiply the oil price by the daily crude production volume to determine revenue to the government. Such analyses ignore the cost of production, the share of crude belonging to the oil-producing companies and the impact of crude sale contracts such as forward contracts designed to hedge against price volatility,” Onanuga said.
“Atiku will do well to show the workings for his N7.98 trillion oil windfall.”
He also faulted Atiku for relying on what it described as outdated economic arguments.
“It is curious that in the middle of 2026, the opposition’s principal economic argument remains anchored to developments in the 2024 fiscal year,” he stated.
